• Secher Trolle posted an update a month ago

    SARS-CoV-2 has now infected 15 million people and produced more than six hundred thousand deaths around the world. Due to high transmission levels, many governments implemented social distancing and confinement measures with different levels of required compliance to mitigate the COVID-19 epidemic. In several countries, these measures were effective, and it was possible to flatten the epidemic curve and control it. In others, this objective was not or has not been achieved. In far too many cities around the world, rebounds of the epidemic are occurring or, in others, plateaulike states have appeared, where high incidence rates remain constant for relatively long periods of time. Nonetheless, faced with the challenge of urgent social need to reactivate their economies, many countries have decided to lift mitigation measures at times of high incidence. In this paper, we use a mathematical model to characterize the impact of short duration transmission events within the confinement period previous but close to the epidemic peak. The model also describes the possible consequences on the disease dynamics after mitigation measures are lifted. We use Mexico City as a case study. The results show that events of high mobility may produce either a later higher peak, a long plateau with relatively constant but high incidence or the same peak as in the original baseline epidemic curve, but with a post-peak interval of slower decay. Finally, we also show the importance of carefully timing the lifting of mitigation measures. If this occurs during a period of high incidence, then the disease transmission will rapidly increase, unless the effective contact rate keeps decreasing, which will be very difficult to achieve once the population is released.Microbial electrolysis cells (MECs) are devices that employ electroactive bacteria to perform extracellular electron transfer, enabling hydrogen generation from biodegradable substrates. In our previous work, we developed and analyzed a differential-algebraic equation (DAE) model for MECs. The model resembles a chemostat or continuous stirred tank reactor (CSTR). It consists of ordinary differential equations for concentrations of substrate, microorganisms, and an extracellular mediator involved in electron transfer. There is also an algebraic constraint for electric current and hydrogen production. Our goal is to determine the outcome of competition between methanogenic archaea and electroactive bacteria, because only the latter contribute to electric current and the resulting hydrogen production. We investigate asymptotic stability in two industrially relevant versions of the model. An important aspect of many chemostat models is the principle of competitive exclusion. This states that only microbes which grow at the lowest substrate concentration will survive as t → ∞.We show that if methanogens can grow at the lowest substrate concentration, then the equilibrium corresponding to competitive exclusion by methanogens is globally asymptotically stable. The analogous result for electroactive bacteria is not necessarily true. In fact we show that local asymptotic stability of competitive exclusion by electroactive bacteria is not guaranteed, even in a simplified version of the model. SMAP activator solubility dmso In this case, even if electroactive bacteria can grow at the lowest substrate concentration, a few additional conditions are required to guarantee local asymptotic stability. We provide numerical simulations supporting these arguments. Our results suggest operating conditions that are most conducive to success of electroactive bacteria and the resulting current and hydrogen production in MECs. This will help identify when producing methane or electricity and hydrogen is favored.Brain tumor is a severe cancer disease caused by uncontrollable and abnormal partitioning of cells. Recent progress in the field of deep learning has helped the health industry in Medical Imaging for Medical Diagnostic of many diseases. For Visual learning and Image Recognition, task CNN is the most prevalent and commonly used machine learning algorithm. Similarly, in our paper, we introduce the convolutional neural network (CNN) approach along with Data Augmentation and Image Processing to categorize brain MRI scan images into cancerous and non-cancerous. Using the transfer learning approach we compared the performance of our scratched CNN model with pre-trained VGG-16, ResNet-50, and Inception-v3 models. As the experiment is tested on a very small dataset but the experimental result shows that our model accuracy result is very effective and have very low complexity rate by achieving 100% accuracy, while VGG-16 achieved 96%, ResNet-50 achieved 89% and Inception-V3 achieved 75% accuracy. Our model requires very less computational power and has much better accuracy results as compared to other pre-trained models.In this paper, we establish a ZIKV model and investigate the transmission dynamics of ZIKV with two types of harvesting proportional harvesting and constant harvesting, and give the stability of the steady states of both disease-free and endemic equilibrium, analyze the effect of harvesting on ZIKV transmission dynamics via numerical simulation. We find that proportional harvesting strategy can eliminate the virus when the basic reproduction number $R_0$ is less than 1, but the constant harvesting strategy may control the virus whether the basic reproduction number is less than 1 or not. Epidemiologically, we find that increasing harvesting may stimulate an increase in the number of virus infections at some point, and harvesting can postpone the peak of disease transmission with the mortality of mosquito increasing. The results can provide us with some useful control strategies to regulate ZIKV dynamics.In this paper, we formulate a phytoplankton-zooplankton-fish model with distributed delays and hybrid stochastic noises involving Brownian motion and Markov chain, and propose an optimal harvesting problem pursuing the maximum of total economic income. By global analysis in terms of some system parameters, we investigate the dynamical behaviors on the well-posedness, bounded- ness, persistence, extinction, stability and attractiveness of the solutions for the stochastic delayed system. Moreover, we provide sufficient and necessary condition ensuring the existence of the optimization solution for the optimization problem and obtain the optimal harvesting effect and the maximum of sustainable yield. Lastly, two numerical examples and their simulations are given to illustrate the effectiveness of our results.

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