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Guy Horton posted an update 6 months, 3 weeks ago
The Beaufort Gyre (BG), the largest Arctic Ocean freshwater reservoir, has drastically increased its liquid freshwater content by 40% in the past two decades. If released within a short period, the excess freshwater could potentially impact the large-scale ocean circulation by freshening the upper subpolar North Atlantic. Here, we track BG-sourced freshwater using passive tracers in a global ocean sea-ice model and show that this freshwater exited the Arctic mostly through the Canadian Arctic Archipelago, rather than Fram Strait, during an historical release event in 1983-1995. The Labrador Sea is the most affected region in the subpolar North Atlantic, with a freshening of 0.2 psu on the western shelves and 0.4 psu in the Labrador Current. Given that the present BG freshwater content anomaly is twice the historical analog studied here, the impact of a future rapid release on Labrador Sea salinity could be significant, easily exceeding similar fluxes from Greenland meltwater.Various systems in physics, biology, social sciences and engineering have been successfully modeled as networks of coupled dynamical systems, where the links describe pairwise interactions. This is, however, too strong a limitation, as recent studies have revealed that higher-order many-body interactions are present in social groups, ecosystems and in the human brain, and they actually affect the emergent dynamics of all these systems. Here, we introduce a general framework to study coupled dynamical systems accounting for the precise microscopic structure of their interactions at any possible order. We show that complete synchronization exists as an invariant solution, and give the necessary condition for it to be observed as a stable state. Moreover, in some relevant instances, such a necessary condition takes the form of a Master Stability Function. This generalizes the existing results valid for pairwise interactions to the case of complex systems with the most general possible architecture.Inherited retinal dystrophies (IRD) are a highly heterogeneous group of rare diseases with a molecular diagnostic rate of >50%. Reclassification of variants of uncertain significance (VUS) poses a challenge for IRD diagnosis. We collected 668 IRD cases analyzed by our geneticists using two different clinical exome-sequencing tests. We identified 114 unsolved cases pending reclassification of 125 VUS and studied their genomic, functional, and laboratory-specific features, comparing them to pathogenic and likely pathogenic variants from the same cohort (N = 390). Bufalin manufacturer While the clinical exome used did not show differences in diagnostic rate, the more IRD-experienced geneticist reported more VUS (p = 4.07e-04). Significantly fewer VUS were reported in recessive cases (p = 2.14e-04) compared to other inheritance patterns, and of all the genes analyzed, ABCA4 and IMPG2 had the lowest and highest VUS frequencies, respectively (p = 3.89e-04, p = 6.93e-03). Moreover, few frameshift and stop-gain variants were found to be informed VUS (p = 6.73e-08 and p = 2.93e-06). Last, we applied five pathogenicity predictors and found there is a significant proof of deleteriousness when all score for pathogenicity in missense variants. Altogether, these results provided input for a set of rules that correctly reclassified ~70% of VUS as pathogenic in validation datasets. Disease- and setting-specific features influence VUS reporting. Comparison with pathogenic and likely pathogenic variants can prioritize VUS more likely to be reclassified as causal.Indirect climate effects on tree fecundity that come through variation in size and growth (climate-condition interactions) are not currently part of models used to predict future forests. Trends in species abundances predicted from meta-analyses and species distribution models will be misleading if they depend on the conditions of individuals. Here we find from a synthesis of tree species in North America that climate-condition interactions dominate responses through two pathways, i) effects of growth that depend on climate, and ii) effects of climate that depend on tree size. Because tree fecundity first increases and then declines with size, climate change that stimulates growth promotes a shift of small trees to more fecund sizes, but the opposite can be true for large sizes. Change the depresses growth also affects fecundity. We find a biogeographic divide, with these interactions reducing fecundity in the West and increasing it in the East. Continental-scale responses of these forests are thus driven largely by indirect effects, recommending management for climate change that considers multiple demographic rates.Immunogenicity of vaccines against meningococcal serogroup B (MenB) has been assessed pre-licensure with a human serum bactericidal activity assay (hSBA), tested against small numbers of strains. We report the qualification/validation of an alternative qualitative hSBA which uses endogenous complement (enc-hSBA) present in the vaccinee’s serum. Serum samples were collected from adults pre-vaccination and post-vaccination with the 4-component MenB vaccine (4CMenB). A representative panel of invasive isolates and 4 antigen-specific indicator strains were used in qualification experiments. Each strain was tested in ≥3 experiments with pre/post-vaccination sera to evaluate intermediate precision. A 110-strain panel and the 4 indicator strains met qualification criteria, demonstrating assay precision. Assay robustness, specificity and sensitivity were demonstrated using the 4 indicator strains. Enc-hSBA is highly standardized, allows testing across large panels of epidemiologically-relevant MenB strains, and accounts for complement activity differences between vaccinees. Therefore, enc-hSBA enables a more accurate estimation of effectiveness for vaccines against MenB.Do handwriting skills transfer when a child writes in two different scripts, such as the Latin and Cyrillic alphabets? Are our measures of handwriting skills intrinsically bound to one alphabet or will a child who faces handwriting difficulties in one script experience similar difficulties in the other script? To answer these questions, 190 children from grades 1-4 were asked to copy a short text using both the Cyrillic and Latin alphabets on a digital tablet. A recent change of policy in Kazakhstan gave us an opportunity to measure transfer, as the Latin-based Kazakh alphabet has not yet been introduced. Therefore, pupils in grade 1 had a 6-months experience in Cyrillic, and pupils in grades 2, 3, and 4 had 1.5, 2.5, and 3.5 years of experience in Cyrillic, respectively. This unique situation created a quasi-experimental situation that allowed us to measure the influence of the number of years spent practicing Cyrillic on the quality of handwriting in the Latin alphabet. The results showed that some of the differences between the two scripts were constant across all grades.
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